Research Projects

SOSEC
Social Sentiment in Times of Crises
Start: 10/2022

The research project SOSEC – Social Sentiment in Times of Crises studies social sentiment and polarization in Germany and the United States. Since 2022, a representative panel survey has been conducted every two weeks with around 1,750 participants per country, examining political attitudes, trust in institutions, and societal developments. The goal is to detect shifts in public sentiment and identify potential tipping points for democratic stability.
The research project SOSEC – Social Sentiment in Times of Crises investigates how social sentiment, political attitudes, and trust in institutions evolve during periods of societal crisis. The project aims to improve our understanding of how polarization develops, which factors influence political attitudes, and under what conditions democratic societies may become vulnerable to destabilization.

At the core of the project is a representative longitudinal panel study in Germany and the United States, conducted continuously since November 2022. Every two weeks, around 1,750 participants per country are surveyed on a wide range of societal topics, including political attitudes, trust in institutions, perceptions of social conflicts, and personal concerns about economic and geopolitical developments. The high temporal resolution allows researchers to track changes in social sentiment with great precision and relate them to ongoing political events.

The survey includes several thematic blocks covering personal life situations, societal concerns, political attitudes, institutional trust, news consumption, and demographic characteristics. Repeated measurements over time create a detailed longitudinal dataset that allows researchers to analyze how societal attitudes evolve and how political climates shift during periods of crisis.

In addition to survey data, SOSEC integrates media and social media monitoring. A news-event monitoring system identifies relevant political events and media debates. These events are then linked with discussions on social media platforms and with changes observed in the panel survey. This enables researchers to analyze how media coverage and online discourse interact with shifts in public opinion.

The collected data are also integrated into an interactive dashboard developed within the project. The dashboard allows researchers, policymakers, and other stakeholders to explore societal trends, test hypotheses about political dynamics, and identify potential risks for democratic stability. A central research focus of SOSEC is the identification of societal tipping points—situations in which seemingly small events trigger cascading shifts in public attitudes. By combining panel data, media analysis, and computational approaches, SOSEC aims to better understand these dynamics and provide evidence-based insights for policymakers, researchers, and the broader public.

Role of the FZI
The FZI Research Center for Information Technology is responsible for the scientific design, coordination, and technical implementation of the SOSEC project. The project is conducted in close collaboration with the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT). At FZI, the panel study is designed and analyzed, and different data sources—panel survey data, media monitoring, and social media data—are methodologically integrated. In addition, FZI develops the interactive dashboard that enables the analysis and visualization of societal trends and sentiment dynamics.
Another key focus is the interdisciplinary integration of methods from social sciences, computer science, and computational social science to analyze societal dynamics and make scientific insights accessible to policymakers, journalists, and the broader public.

Contact person
Department Manager
Division: Information Process Engineering
Branch Office Berlin

Research focus
Digital Society

Drawing on our expertise in applied AI, computational social science, and medical technology, we develop solutions for the political, business, and civil sectors.

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